International Economic Markets
I’m going to keep it very succinct this week on international markets given there were predominantly only two major items for report.
In China, the decision NOT to include Chinese mainland shares in the pre-eminent emerging market benchmark index was notable. In reality, the inclusion of China here is only a matter of time, and will more than likely occur 12 months from now.
The ongoing maturation of the Chinese stock-market is a theme that will be with us for a decade or more, and will surely be a theme for investors to support and pursue.
The second issue to note is the ongoing travails of the Greek debt negotiations. Seriously, I couldn’t think of a worse job in the world than being stuck around that table right now.
So this week the Greeks annoyed the IMF so much that the IMF negotiators left the table and flew back to Washington. Greece is rapidly running out of cash (we are talking weeks) and on the cusp of major default, short of a resolution to the current impasse.
German political resolve remains committed to a solution, but again, the ongoing frustration with the willingness of the Greeks to enact reforms is rapidly destroying the incumbent goodwill.
We are getting down to final days and hours next week, so expect the uncertainty and volatility to ratchet up.